Poker Hand Statistics Texas Holdem

In Texas Hold’em, pocket jacks are known as big danger hand. It provides a player below the chance they require to get a survival with the probability of a top card resulting to a flop about 53%. Texas Hold'em Poker probabilities When calculating probabilities for a card game such as Texas Hold'em, there are two basic approaches. The first approach is to determine the number of outcomes that satisfy the condition being evaluated and divide this by the total number of possible outcomes. However, there are 1,326 different starting poker hands in Texas Holdem, and even 270,725 poker hand variations in Pot Limit Omaha. While there are many different starting hands options in various games, the winning hand is determined by poker hand rankings consisting only of 10 options. When is the kicker used to determine the winning poker hand? That’s why it’s a general rule to fold 80-90% of hands when playing poker. The power of a full house When having two pair, the chances of making a full house are at 16.74% but when you have three of a kind, your odds of making a full house improve greatly, shooting up to 33.4%. Texas Holdem Poker Two Card Hand Frequencies. Both before and after the flop in any limit Holdem game, it is helpful to be able to make a reasonably accurate estimate of the types and numbers of playable hands that you are likely to be competing against.

Introduction

The following table ranks the top hands in a 3-player game. This table assumes that all players stay in until the end.

Explanation of column headings:Hand
  • Cards: Initial two-card hand.
  • Probability of win: Probability that this hand will win, or tie for the win.
  • Average win: This is how much the player will win on average, including his own bets, if the player does win. This is less than 3 because sometimes the player will have to split the pot.
  • Expected value: This is how many units the player can expected to win (positive) or lose (negative) with this hand. For example if the player had a pair of aces and contibuted $1 to the pot then the player could expect to have a net win of $1.20.
  • Probability: Probability of getting this hand to begin with.
  • Additive probability: Probability of getting this hand or any stronger hand to begin with.

Initial Hold'em Hands in Rank Order for 3-Player Game

CardsProbability of WinAverage WinExpected ValueProbabilityAdditive Probability
Pair of A's73.78%2.991.20340.45%0.45%
Pair of K's69.21%2.991.0660.45%0.9%
Pair of Q's65.29%2.980.94750.45%1.36%
Pair of J's61.57%2.980.8350.45%1.81%
Pair of T's58.02%2.980.72720.45%2.26%
Pair of 9's54.08%2.970.60840.45%2.71%
A/K suited51.77%2.940.52210.3%3.02%
Pair of 8's50.46%2.970.49860.45%3.47%
A/Q suited50.56%2.930.48240.3%3.77%
A/K unsuited49.28%2.930.44620.9%4.68%
A/J suited49.49%2.920.44610.3%4.98%
K/Q suited48.28%2.930.41280.3%5.28%
A/T suited48.5%2.910.41210.3%5.58%
A/Q unsuited48.01%2.930.40450.9%6.49%
Pair of 7's47.02%2.970.39450.45%6.94%
K/J suited47.22%2.920.37720.3%7.24%
A/J unsuited46.84%2.910.36520.9%8.14%
K/T suited46.24%2.910.34360.3%8.45%
A/9 suited46.16%2.90.33660.3%8.75%
K/Q unsuited45.61%2.920.33180.9%9.65%
A/T unsuited45.79%2.90.32890.9%10.56%
Q/J suited45.55%2.910.32560.3%10.86%
A/8 suited45.31%2.880.30580.3%11.16%
Pair of 6's43.77%2.960.29580.45%11.61%
Q/T suited44.59%2.90.29320.3%11.92%
K/J unsuited44.46%2.910.2930.9%12.82%
A/7 suited44.32%2.870.27190.3%13.12%
K/9 suited43.88%2.890.26890.3%13.42%
J/T suited43.44%2.90.25820.3%13.73%
K/T unsuited43.42%2.90.25760.9%14.63%
A/9 unsuited43.25%2.880.24730.9%15.54%
A/5 suited43.59%2.850.24310.3%15.84%
Q/J unsuited42.76%2.90.24060.9%16.74%
A/6 suited43.19%2.860.23480.3%17.04%
Q/9 suited42.25%2.890.21930.3%17.35%
A/4 suited42.7%2.850.21610.3%17.65%
A/8 unsuited42.31%2.870.21360.9%18.55%
Q/T unsuited41.73%2.890.2060.9%19.46%
K/8 suited41.91%2.880.20480.3%19.76%
Pair of 5's40.7%2.950.20170.45%20.21%
A/3 suited41.8%2.850.19010.3%20.51%
J/9 suited41.11%2.880.18440.3%20.81%
K/7 suited41.19%2.860.17860.3%21.12%
A/7 unsuited41.25%2.850.1770.9%22.02%
K/9 unsuited40.88%2.880.17690.9%22.93%
J/T unsuited40.58%2.890.1710.9%23.83%
A/2 suited40.86%2.850.1630.3%24.13%
T/9 suited40.38%2.880.16170.3%24.43%
Q/8 suited40.28%2.870.15640.3%24.74%
K/6 suited40.29%2.850.14830.3%25.04%
A/5 unsuited40.46%2.830.14580.9%25.94%
A/6 unsuited40.04%2.840.13740.9%26.85%
Q/9 unsuited39.2%2.870.12620.9%27.75%
K/5 suited39.51%2.840.1220.3%28.05%
J/8 suited39.14%2.870.12190.3%28.36%
A/4 unsuited39.45%2.830.11550.9%29.26%
K/8 unsuited38.75%2.860.10790.9%30.17%
Pair of 4's37.42%2.950.10260.45%30.62%
T/8 suited38.46%2.860.10040.3%30.92%
K/4 suited38.63%2.840.09560.3%31.22%
Q/7 suited38.33%2.850.09370.3%31.52%
J/9 unsuited38.05%2.870.09080.9%32.43%
A/3 unsuited38.5%2.830.08790.9%33.33%
K/7 unsuited37.96%2.840.07920.9%34.24%
9/8 suited37.74%2.860.0790.3%34.54%
Q/6 suited37.7%2.840.07120.3%34.84%
K/3 suited37.78%2.840.07120.3%35.14%
T/9 unsuited37.36%2.860.06920.9%36.05%
J/7 suited37.21%2.850.06050.3%36.35%
Q/8 unsuited37.09%2.850.05850.9%37.25%
A/2 unsuited37.47%2.820.05790.9%38.16%
K/6 unsuited37%2.830.04690.9%39.06%
K/2 suited36.91%2.830.04640.3%39.37%
Q/5 suited36.93%2.830.04550.3%39.67%
T/7 suited36.51%2.850.03940.3%39.97%
J/8 unsuited35.94%2.850.02370.9%40.87%
9/7 suited35.95%2.840.02230.3%41.18%
Q/4 suited36.08%2.830.02030.3%41.48%
K/5 unsuited36.15%2.820.01830.9%42.38%
8/7 suited35.65%2.840.01340.3%42.68%
Pair of 3's34.33%2.940.00870.45%43.14%
T/8 unsuited35.26%2.840.00260.9%44.04%
J/6 suited35.33%2.830.00090.3%44.34%
Q/3 suited35.22%2.83-0.00420.3%44.65%
Q/7 unsuited35.01%2.83-0.00820.9%45.55%
K/4 unsuited35.19%2.81-0.01040.9%46.46%
J/5 suited34.79%2.82-0.01820.3%46.76%
9/8 unsuited34.55%2.84-0.01850.9%47.66%
T/6 suited34.64%2.83-0.01940.3%47.96%
Q/2 suited34.4%2.83-0.02790.3%48.27%
Q/6 unsuited34.33%2.82-0.03260.9%49.17%
9/6 suited34.08%2.83-0.03570.3%49.47%
K/3 unsuited34.26%2.81-0.03740.9%50.38%
8/6 suited33.88%2.83-0.04160.3%50.68%
J/7 unsuited33.86%2.83-0.04220.9%51.58%
7/6 suited33.85%2.83-0.04240.3%51.89%
J/4 suited33.95%2.82-0.0430.3%52.19%
Q/5 unsuited33.48%2.81-0.06070.9%53.09%
T/7 unsuited33.19%2.82-0.06260.9%54%
K/2 unsuited33.34%2.81-0.06420.9%54.9%
J/3 suited33.14%2.82-0.06590.3%55.2%
T/5 suited32.81%2.81-0.07680.3%55.51%
9/7 unsuited32.6%2.82-0.07990.9%56.41%
Pair of 2's31.4%2.93-0.08040.45%56.86%
8/7 unsuited32.33%2.82-0.08810.9%57.77%
Q/4 unsuited32.55%2.8-0.08860.9%58.67%
J/2 suited32.33%2.82-0.08910.3%58.97%
6/5 suited32.21%2.82-0.09230.3%59.28%
9/5 suited32.24%2.81-0.09270.3%59.58%
T/4 suited32.22%2.81-0.09450.3%59.88%
7/5 suited32.1%2.82-0.09620.3%60.18%
8/5 suited32.06%2.81-0.09790.3%60.48%
J/6 unsuited31.85%2.81-0.1060.9%61.39%
Q/3 unsuited31.63%2.8-0.1150.9%62.29%
T/3 suited31.42%2.81-0.11720.3%62.59%
T/6 unsuited31.16%2.8-0.12620.9%63.5%
J/5 unsuited31.26%2.79-0.12680.9%64.4%
5/4 suited30.98%2.81-0.12950.3%64.71%
T/2 suited30.6%2.81-0.14050.3%65.01%
Q/2 unsuited30.72%2.8-0.14130.9%65.91%
9/6 unsuited30.61%2.8-0.14210.9%66.82%
6/4 suited30.42%2.81-0.14530.3%67.12%
8/6 unsuited30.43%2.8-0.14730.9%68.02%
7/6 unsuited30.41%2.8-0.14770.9%68.93%
9/4 suited30.35%2.8-0.14920.3%69.23%
7/4 suited30.21%2.81-0.15220.3%69.53%
J/4 unsuited30.35%2.79-0.15380.9%70.44%
8/4 suited30.16%2.8-0.15420.3%70.74%
9/3 suited29.78%2.8-0.16540.3%71.04%
J/3 unsuited29.44%2.79-0.17980.9%71.95%
5/3 suited29.18%2.8-0.18210.3%72.25%
T/5 unsuited29.21%2.78-0.18720.9%73.15%
9/2 suited28.98%2.8-0.18830.3%73.45%
6/5 unsuited28.7%2.79-0.19980.9%74.36%
6/3 suited28.55%2.8-0.20020.3%74.66%
9/5 unsuited28.63%2.78-0.20350.9%75.57%
J/2 unsuited28.56%2.78-0.20520.9%76.47%
7/5 unsuited28.54%2.78-0.20530.9%77.38%
T/4 unsuited28.55%2.78-0.20720.9%78.28%
4/3 suited28.28%2.8-0.20740.3%78.58%
8/5 unsuited28.47%2.78-0.20780.9%79.49%
7/3 suited28.3%2.8-0.20820.3%79.79%
8/3 suited28.28%2.8-0.20930.3%80.09%
8/2 suited27.73%2.79-0.22530.3%80.39%
T/3 unsuited27.68%2.77-0.23240.9%81.3%
5/2 suited27.3%2.79-0.23710.3%81.6%
5/4 unsuited27.37%2.78-0.24010.9%82.5%
6/2 suited26.65%2.79-0.25590.3%82.81%
6/4 unsuited26.76%2.77-0.25760.9%83.71%
T/2 unsuited26.79%2.77-0.25780.9%84.62%
4/2 suited26.49%2.79-0.25990.3%84.92%
7/2 suited26.44%2.79-0.26280.3%85.22%
9/4 unsuited26.59%2.77-0.26440.9%86.12%
7/4 unsuited26.51%2.77-0.26570.9%87.03%
8/4 unsuited26.42%2.77-0.26870.9%87.93%
9/3 unsuited25.97%2.76-0.28250.9%88.84%
3/2 suited25.61%2.79-0.2850.3%89.14%
5/3 unsuited25.46%2.76-0.29610.9%90.05%
9/2 unsuited25.1%2.76-0.30730.9%90.95%
6/3 unsuited24.74%2.76-0.31680.9%91.86%
4/3 unsuited24.49%2.76-0.32380.9%92.76%
7/3 unsuited24.47%2.76-0.32560.9%93.67%
8/3 unsuited24.4%2.75-0.32850.9%94.57%
8/2 unsuited23.79%2.75-0.34620.9%95.48%
5/2 unsuited23.43%2.75-0.35580.9%96.38%
6/2 unsuited22.69%2.75-0.37690.9%97.29%
4/2 unsuited22.56%2.75-0.38010.9%98.19%
7/2 unsuited22.44%2.74-0.38540.9%99.1%
3/2 unsuited21.61%2.74-0.40720.9%100%
Total2.84100%
Poker Hand Statistics Texas Holdem

Methodology:

Hand

This table is the result of a random simulation of 68,612,544,000 games and assumes all players stay in until the end of the hand.

The following table shows my power rating for each initial 2-card hand in a 3-player game. The numbers are on a 0 to 40 scale. Use the top table if you have a pair, the middle table if your cards are suited, and the bottom table if your cards are unsuited. Except for a pair,look up your high card along the left and your low card along the top.

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Poker Hand Odds Texas Holdem

Written by: Michael Shackleford